Week 18 NFL Parlay Picks

After struggling with my NFL Parlay Picks for most of the season, I can potentially turn a profit over the course of the campaign with my last two plays. My Underdog Moneyline Parlay of the Week blew up in spectacular fashion as both the New York Jets and New England Patriots were obliterated in Week 17, but my Total Parlay of the Week managed to cash once again to leave me less than $100 in the red. Both of those legs cashed with ease too as the Los Angeles Rams and Arizona Cardinals combined for just 22 points in a game where the total was 48, and the Miami Dolphins beat the Cleveland Browns 20-3 in a game that had an over/under of 39.5 earlier in the week.

I’m not going to tamper with recent success in Week 18. Betting on moneyline underdogs and unders has helped me turn things around, even with favorites currently covering at a historic rate. 

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YTD 8-26 -$98.47

Week 18 NFL Parlay Picks

Underdog Moneyline Parlay of the Week

Chicago Bears +384 at Green Bay Packers 

Dallas Cowboys +204 vs. Washington Commanders 

$100 to win $1,371.36

Chicago has lost ten straight games and is winless on the road. However, the Bears only lost to the Green Bay Packers by a single point earlier this year and have played their NFC North rivals close all but once in five previous games this season. Additionally, they have had a few extra days to prepare as they played on Thursday Night Football in Week 17. Meanwhile, Green Bay doesn’t have a lot to play for in its season finale. The Packers will either be the No. 6 or the No. 7 seed, and I believe they will use this opportunity to rest their injured players. Jaire Alexander has already been ruled out after having knee surgery, and I wouldn’t be surprised if anyone with an injury designation is sidelined. 

I don’t see the other team that will be the No. 6 or the No. 7 seed going full throttle in its regular season finale either. Washington was elated to break its postseason drought last week against Atlanta, and there is likely to be an emotional letdown before the playoffs start next week. The Commanders fell at home to the Dallas Cowboys earlier this year too, so I can see Dallas winning this one outright as well. Although Dallas was dismantled on the road by Philadelphia last week, the Cowboys have won four of their last six games.

Total Parlay of the Week

Under 38 in New England Patriots vs. Buffalo BillsUnder 37.5 in Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants

$100 to win $263.03

New England and Buffalo played a very close game in Week 16. The Bills defeated the Patriots 24-21, and New England may have pulled off one of the biggest upsets of the season if not for three turnovers. I don’t believe either team will be as potent on offense this time though. New England is currently in line to have the No. 1 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, and I think the front office will try to circumvent any chances of winning this game. Meanwhile, the Bills will be playing Mitch Trubisky at quarterback and will sit a ton of their starters. Buffalo is locked into the No. 2 seed, so rest will be the order of the day for all of the best players on the roster.

Expect Philadelphia to sit all its stars in its regular season finale too. The Eagles are also locked into the No. 2 seed, and Nick Sirianni told the media that he was planning to rest some of his players on Wednesday. There was some thought that Saquon Barkley might still play with the single season rushing record within reach, but the Eagles need their star running back healthy for the postseason. Jalen Hurts and even Kenny Pickett might sit too, and that would lead to Tanner McKee getting his first NFL start. As for the New York Giants, I don’t expect Drew Lock to have a repeat performance of what we saw against Indianapolis last week. Lock threw one touchdown pass and four interceptions in his three starts prior to his monster Week 17 game. 

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