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I nearly put myself all the way back in the black in one fell swoop last week. My Underdog Moneyline Parlay of the Week cashed as both the Los Angeles Rams and Jacksonville Jaguars won outright. The Los Angeles Rams held on despite a late rally from the Buffalo Bills, while the Jacksonville Jaguars kept it close with the Tennessee Titans throughout before winning late. That was a much-needed profit of $636.40 to infuse my coffers once more.
My Total Parlay of the Week would have put me over the top if it had cashed. The Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers combined for just 36 points, finishing short of the number as I predicted, but the Monday Night Football game did not go as well. I expected there to be a shootout in Dallas between the Cowboys and the Cincinnati Bengals, but the teams combined for just 47 points despite being on pace for the Over at the end of the first half.
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YTD 6-22 -$241.98
Week 15 NFL Parlay Picks
Underdog Moneyline Parlay of the Week
New Orleans Saints +312 vs. Washington Commanders
Dallas Cowboys +132 at Carolina Panthers $100 to win $855.84
I’m going back to the well and betting another big Underdog Moneyline Parlay. The New Orleans Saints are one of my favorite picks this week. Washington is coming off a bye, and New Orleans didn’t look great in last week’s win over the New York Giants, but the Saints do still have a decent playmaker under center in Derek Carr. Meanwhile, Offensive Rookie of the Year favorite Jayden Daniels has hit the rookie wall. In his last four games, he has thrown for more than 210 yards just once, and he has tossed six touchdowns against four interceptions in that stretch.
Dallas fell to Cincinnati on Monday night, but the Cowboys had won consecutive games for the second time all season prior to that defeat. The offense has looked better under Cooper Rush as of late, so I will take the Cowboys even though Bryce Young and the Carolina Panthers have been playing better too. Carolina has been an underdog in a whopping 33 straight games, so it could be wise to against them here off that fact alone.
Total Parlay of the Week
Over 43 in Carolina Panthers vs. Dallas CowboysUnder 42 in Philadelphia Eagles vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
$100 to win $272.59
Dallas is averaging 27 PPG over its last three games, while Carolina has been more effective on offense over the last month or so. Bryce Young has thrown for five touchdown passes and two interceptions over this last five games, and that’s a marked improvement from what we saw earlier in the year. Chuba Hubbard has been one of the most underrated running backs this season, and Adam Thielen has had two straight excellent games since returning from an injury that kept him out for two months.
Cooper Rush really struggled in his first couple starts, but he has thrown six touchdown passes and two interceptions in his last four starts. That has helped Dallas create some offense and I believe we will see enough scoring to push this game over the total.
Pittsburgh and Philadelphia both have excellent defenses, and I only wish I could have bet this number when it opened at 44.5. The Steelers will be hard-pressed to score in this game with an injured George Pickens on the perimeter. We saw Pittsburgh’s offense really struggle without Pickens against Cleveland last week (despite the final score), so I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Steelers lay an egg here.
As for Philadelphia’s offense, the Eagles have done enough on this side of the ball to win nine straight games. However, Jalen Hurts struggles against quality defenses. Hurts has been able to benefit from playing a lot of below average defenses recently, but the Steelers are not a below average unit on this side of the ball. Additionally, Hurts has thrown for a total of 226 yards in his last two starts, as his numbers are once again taking a dip in December.
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