Week 12 NFL Parlay Picks

At this point, I’m ice cold on my NFL Parlay Picks. I haven’t been able to hit a parlay since Week 8, losing both of my parlays in each of the last three weeks. This past week was my worst performance yet though as I lost every leg of both parlays. In my Underdog Parlay of the Week, the Jacksonville Jaguars were blown out by the Detroit Lions, and Cincinnati fell to the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday Night Football. 

Meanwhile, I lost both legs of my Total Parlay of the Week for just the second time all year. The New York Jets and Indianapolis Colts combined to score 55 points after a back-and-forth second half that saw the Colts score with 46 seconds left to knock off the Jets. I was unfortunate with my Under pick in the game between New Orleans and Cleveland though as the Saints scored three fourth quarter touchdowns to push the game over the total. There were three touchdowns of at least 70 yards in the game too. 

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YTD 4-18 -$753.82

Week 12 NFL Parlay Picks

AFC Parlay of the Week

Denver Broncos -6 at Las Vegas RaidersOver 51.5 in Los Angeles Chargers vs. Baltimore Ravens$100 to win $275.44

The Denver Broncos are coming off their biggest win of the season. This might seem like a letdown spot with the Las Vegas Raiders, but the Broncos have done a good job of taking care of business against bad teams. They are 5-0 against teams that are under .500, and they won four of those five games by at least 14 points. Included in that total is a 34-18 win over Las Vegas back in Week 5, and Bo Nix has only improved since that point. Conversely, the Raiders have had major issues at quarterback. Denver has an excellent defense, so I expect the Raiders to really struggle moving the ball.

Baltimore has had issues on the road this season. The Ravens are just 3-3 outside of Maryland, and their defense has not traveled well. They are surrendering 28 PPG in their six road games, and that’s after their best performance of the year against Pittsburgh last week. Meanwhile, Lamar Jackson has been sensational against every team but Pittsburgh. Jackson should have a bounce-back performance against the Los Angeles Chargers on Monday Night Football, so I expect this game to have at least 55 points.

Total Parlay of the Week

Under 45 in Washington Commanders vs. Dallas CowboysUnder 40.5 in Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans

$100 to win $269.28

There shouldn’t be many points in the NFC East showdown between the Washington Commanders and the Dallas Cowboys. Dallas has really struggled without Dak Prescott under center, scoring just 16 points in its last two games. Cooper Rush is averaging just 4.8 YPA, and that’s with some nice garbage time stats against the Houston Texans last week. Trey Lance hasn’t looked any better in limited action, so it’s hard to see the Cowboys scoring more than two touchdowns.

Meanwhile, the Washington Commanders like to run the ball. The Commanders have the fifth highest run rate in the league, taking pressure off rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels. The clear favorite to be named NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year per the NFL futures odds has not looked as sharp in his last couple games, averaging just 6.0 YPA with a touchdown and an interception against Pittsburgh and Philadelphia. 

The second Under bet in this parlay is a bit of a wager against the NFL’s second team in the Lone Star State. Houston has not looked good on offense lately. Yes, the Texans scored 34 points against the lowly Dallas Cowboys on Monday Night Football, but C.J. Stroud did not look sharp. The offensive line play has not been good, and the passing game hasn’t been the same even with Nico Collins back in the fold. Tennessee has not looked good on offense either with Will Levis and Mason Rudolph combining to throw 12 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. The Titans have only scored more than 17 points twice in 10 games, so the Under is a strong play here.

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