Super Bowl LIX Same Game Parlay Pick

Over 100 million Americans will tune in to watch Super Bowl LIX in New Orleans, Louisiana on Sunday, February 9, 2025. For all the caterwauling surrounding a rematch between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles, this will once again be the most watched event by a mile this year. Kansas City is a slight favorite per the NFL betting odds, but Philadelphia would certainly be the favorite if these teams’ resumes were matched up without listing the team names. Not many bettors want to bet against three-time Super Bowl MVP Patrick Mahomes as he looks to make history by leading the Chiefs to a record third consecutive Super Bowl victory.

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Current Super Bowl LIX Betting Odds

Kansas City Chiefs -1 vs. Philadelphia Eagles Total 48.5

We have seen both the side and the total move over the last week here. Kansas City was a 1.5-point favorite per the Super Bowl betting line, and the total was listed at 49 points. However, the Chiefs are now just a one-point favorite, and the over/under has dropped to 48.5 points.

Super Bowl LIX Same Game ParlayPhiladelphia MLJalen Hurts Over 259.5 Total YardsEagles Defense Over 2.5 Sacks$100 to Win $809

Philadelphia Eagles ML +102 vs. Kansas City Chiefs

The more I look at this line, the more I think that the Eagles should be the team that is favored. Philadelphia is a more talented team, and the only position where Kansas City has a clear advantage is quarterback. Patrick Mahomes is clearly a better option than Jalen Hurts, but the Eagles have more talent in the skill positions, along the offensive line, and throughout the defense.

Jalen Hurts Over 259.5 Passing + Rushing Yards +100

I fully expect Kansas City to stack the line in order to shut down Saquon Barkley. Defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo will look to take away Philadelphia’s best weapon and force Jalen Hurts to beat the Chiefs through the air, and I believe that Hurts will oblige them with his play. Hurts has had a handful of poor performances throughout his postseason career, but he has three excellent targets in A.J. Brown, Devonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert, and he is one of the most skilled runners you will find at the quarterback position.

Hurts has only gone over this number in three of his eight playoff starts, but he hasn’t needed to do a lot through the air in most of the Eagles’ games over the past three seasons. Additionally, Hurts flew over this number when the Eagles met the Chiefs in Super Bowl LVII. The fifth-year quarterback was good enough that he would have been named Super Bowl MVP if the Eagles would have won as he completed 27 of 38 passes for 304 yards and a touchdown, and he also ran the ball 15 times for 70 yards and three scores. This offensive line will give him plenty of time to make decisions with his arm, and he will have some opportunities to pick up yards with his legs too.

Philadelphia Eagles to Have Over 2.5 Sacks +125

Patrick Mahomes doesn’t get sacked often, but I think Philadelphia will be able to apply pressure in much the same way we saw Tampa Bay completely short-circuit the Kansas City protection scheme in Super Bowl LV. In that game, Mahomes was sacked three times and pressured several more times, leading to the Chiefs being completely inept on offense. He was sacked three times by Houston and twice by Buffalo earlier this postseason, and Philly has a better pass rush than either of those teams.

Even with Nakobe Dean and Brandon Graham on injured reserve, the Eagles have some excellent pass rushers. The Georgia contingent of Jordan Davis, Jalen Carter, and Nolan Smith Jr. can get after Mahomes, and Josh Sweat and Oren Burks are solid pass rushers too. Philadelphia has 10 sacks in three playoff games, and Smith leads the way with four sacks this postseason. In the regular season, the Eagles only registered 41 total sacks, but Vic Fangio has found something in his front seven during the Super Bowl run. 

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