Super Bowl LIX Prop Picks

There are hundreds of Super Bowl betting props available for Super Bowl LIX on Sunday, February 9, 2025. This has been the premier sporting event in the United States for decades now, and sportsbooks whet the appetite of the general public by offering a smorgasbord of different props. Let’s get right into the action and take a look at some of the better props available.

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Super Bowl LIX Betting Props

Saquon Barkley Under 114.5 Rushing Yards -110 

Although I do like Philadelphia to win the game, I believe that Kansas City will do everything it can to bottle up Saquon Barkley. We’ve seen Barkley have a tremendous season with the Eagles after leaving the New York Giants in free agency. Barkley has run for more than 100 yards in each of his last five games, and nine of his last 10 games overall, but this is the Super Bowl. Kansas City is very good at taking away what you are best at on offense, and we have not seen a lot of 100-yard games in recent Super Bowl history. The last player with at least 115 rushing yards in the Super Bowl was Michael Pittman more than two decades ago when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Oakland Raiders 48-21 in Super Bowl XXXVII.

Jalen Hurts to Win Super Bowl MVP +286

Usually, there isn’t much value in a quarterback being named Super Bowl MVP given the regularity with which signal callers have been given the award over the last 15 seasons. We have seen a quarterback named Super Bowl MVP in 11 of the last 15 Super Bowls, and this honor tends to default towards the quarterback of a winning team.

However, many bettors believe that Saquon Barkley is the more likely MVP if Philadelphia wins the Super Bowl even though a running back hasn’t been named Super Bowl MVP since Terrell Davis won the award 27 years ago in Super Bowl XXXII. Hurts will have a lot of opportunities to win the game with his arm if the Chiefs do stack the box like I believe they will on Sunday night, so this play makes sense at this price.

Philadelphia Eagles to Record More Sacks than the Kansas City Chiefs +131

I touched on this with my Super Bowl Same Game Parlay Pick article, but I believe Philadelphia’s front seven is going to give Kansas City all sorts of fits. The Eagles have a ton of young, athletic pass rushers in the front seven, and I don’t think this Chiefs’ offensive line is as good as some are contending. Patrick Mahomes does make their lives easier in big games by running the ball more often, but Mahomes is not nearly as athletic of a runner as Jalen Hurts. Although Hurts can sometimes rely on his legs a little too much, I will jump at the chance to take the Eagles to have more sacks at this price.

Dallas Goedert Under 4.5 Receptions +102

Full transparency, I first looked at betting the Over here. Then, I looked at Dallas Goedert’s game log, and I saw that he finished with four or fewer catches in five straight games until he caught eight passes for 85 yards against Washington in the NFC Championship Game. Goedert has only been targeted 52 times in 13 games this season, and while he has a great catch rate, that math isn’t conducive to the tight end going over the total here.

Patrick Mahomes Over 5.5 Rushing Attempts -115

This is one of my favorite bets on the board. Patrick Mahomes isn’t much of a runner in the regular season, but he does tuck it and run often in the playoffs. Mahomes has run the ball at least six times in each of his last five postseason games, and he has run the ball 108 times in 20 playoff starts over the course of his career. As the importance of the game rises, we see Mahomes try to make things happen more and more too. In four previous Super Bowl starts, Mahomes has carried the ball a total of 29 times. 

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