Uncover the best bets for NFL Week 12! Our expert analysis and tips will help you make informed decisions and boost your betting success. Join us now!
I just can’t seem to escape posting 2-2 weeks in my Best Bets column. Once again, I finished with a break even record that ended up with me losing juice. The Green Bay Packers barely escaped Soldier Field with a win over the Chicago Bears, and they didn’t deserve to cover the spread in that game. Elsewhere, Lamar Jackson was unable to lead Baltimore past Pittsburgh, leading to the Ravens losing outright as a three-point road favorite per the NFL betting odds against the Steelers.
Both of my total bets were winners. The Los Angeles Chargers and Cincinnati Bengals soared over their number on Sunday Night Football thanks to a big comeback from the Bengals. Minnesota and Tennessee combined to go under the total too despite a 98-yard touchdown pass from Will Levis to Nick Westbrook-Ikhine.
Bet the latest NFL odds Right Now!
YTD 20-22 ATS
Week 12 NFL Betting Odds and Picks
New England Patriots +7 at Miami Dolphins
Drake Maye has continually improved during his rookie season with the New England Patriots. Maye isn’t lighting up the stat sheets or making highlight reel plays like Jayden Daniels, but he has been consistent since taking over the starting job. The Patriots are 2-2 in their last two games, and their two losses were both by six points or less in that stretch.
Miami is getting a little too much credit. Many are projecting the Dolphins to earn the last playoff spot in the AFC with the return of Tua Tagovailoa, but the Dolphins still have some pretty big flaws. They have yet to have a 100-yard rusher this season, and the defense is just above average.
Under 41 in Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Bo Nix put together his best game of the season last week against the Atlanta Falcons. Nix completed 28 of 33 passes for 307 yards and four touchdowns in a 38-6 thrashing of the Falcons, and that moved Denver to 6-5 on the season. However, despite that excellent performance, the Broncos still rank 20th in scoring offense (21.4 PPG) and 23rd in total offense (312.5 YPG).
Conversely, the Broncos have arguably the best defense in the league. Denver leads the NFL in yards per play allowed (4.6 YPPA), and this team is ranked third in scoring defense (16.6 PPG) and total defense (289.4 YPG). The first game between these two teams had a combined 52 points, but there was a long pick-six, and the Broncos scored 34 points despite having just 289 total yards of offense.
Denver Broncos -5.5 at Las Vegas Raiders
For the first time all season, I am going to bet both the side and the total in the same game. Denver has been pretty predictable this season. The Broncos have taken care of business against the bad teams of the league, and they have had a hard time against the top teams.
Las Vegas had the flukiest win of the season in Week 2, and the Raiders haven’t won a game since September. They have dropped six straight contests to fall to 2-8, and any thought they would be more competitive after the bye week was quickly dashed. Las Vegas has some of the worst quarterback play in the league with Gardner Minshew, Aidan O’Connell and Desmond Ridder all receiving time, and the ground game has been atrocious too. Rookie tight end Brock Bowers has been the only real weapon on offense, but I expect Denver to bottle him up.
Baltimore Ravens -3 at Los Angeles Chargers
I’m not quite sold on the Los Angeles Chargers just yet. They did take care of business against the unlucky Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday Night Football last week, but their only win over a team with a winning record was a 23-16 victory against Denver. J.K. Dobbins and Gus Edwards both used to play for the Ravens, and while they are going to be motivated to play well, Baltimore has an elite run defense that knows how to bottle up opponents’ ground games.
Lamar Jackson continued to underperform against Pittsburgh last week, but the two-time NFL MVP will have a bounce-back game here. The Chargers aren’t nearly as good on defense as their numbers indicate, so I expect Jackson to move the ball with relative ease.
Bet the latest NFL odds Right Now!
