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On Thursday night, the Milwaukee Bucks will host the Miami Heat. Mich like the Bucks, the Heat have lost their dominance. When Doc Rivers took over from rookie head coach Adrian Griffin, the Bucks were 32-14 and rolling. But Griffin was thought not to have the gravitas to produce a championship. Those moves beg the question as to why he was hired in the first place. Since Rivers took over, Milwaukee has gone 40-36. Of great concern is the poor board value that the Bucks have offered since Rivers took over.
Matchup: Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks
When: Thursday, January 23, 2025, 7:30 p.m. ET
Where: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
Odds: Check Back Later
Media: TNT
Check out the latest NBA odds Right Now!
Miami Heat Record and Metrics
The Miami Heat are 20-20 straight up, 17-23 against the spread, and 22-18 over/under the total. Late on, Miami has covered two out of their last six games. While the Heat went over the total in six of its previous ten matchups. Concurrently, Miami is 14th in the Eastern Conference playoff standings. Maimi is 14 games behind the Cleveland Cavaliers in the Eastern Conference playoff race.
Miami has NBA metrics of 21st for scoring offense, 20th for field goal percentage, 12th for 3-point field goal percentage, 10th for free throw percentage, and 21st for offensive rebounding. In comparison on defense, the Heat have NBA metrics of 7th for scoring defense, 12th for field goal percentage permitted, 15th for 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 26th for defensive rebounding.
Milwaukee Bucks Record and Metrics
The Milwaukee Bucks are 23-17 straight up, 18-21-1 against the spread, and 20-20 over/under the total. Late on, Milwaukee has covered five out of their last seven games. At the same time, the Bucks have gone over the total in one of its previous eight matchups. Concurrently, Milwaukee is 4th in the Eastern Conference playoff standings. Milwaukee is 11 games behind Cleveland in the Eastern Conference playoff race.
Milwaukee has NBA metrics of 13th for scoring offense, 6th for field goal percentage, 2nd for 3-point field goal percentage, 29th for free throw percentage, and 16th for offensive rebounding. In comparison on defense, the Bucks have NBA metrics of 10th for scoring defense, 4th for field goal percentage permitted, 11th for 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 23rd for defensive rebounding.
The fall of the Bucks has been stunning. Not that long ago, Milwaukee was the best value on the board despite the fact that they draw massive amounts of public support. Milwaukee never should have fired head coach Mike Budenholzer, who led them to the 2021 NBA championship. Giannis said as much. But the hiring of Doc Rivers is proving to be an even bigger mistake. Rivers has not accomplished much since his time with the Boston Celtics well over a decade ago. The Bucks also suffer From Damian Lillard’s lack of defensive commitment.
ATS Numbers
Late on in this series, Milwaukee covered only nine of its previous 15 matchups against the Heat. The Bucks and Miami went over the total in 13 of their most recent 18 games. Specifically at Milwaukee, Maimi got the cash in three of its most recent five visits against the Bucks. Also, the Bucks and Heat went over the total in six of their most recent seven games at Milwaukee.
Miami Heat to Watch
The first among Miami scorers is Tyler Herro, with 24.2 points, 5.7 assists, and 5.0 assists per game. Also, Bam Adebayo brings 15.9 points and 9.7 rebounds per contest.
Milwaukee Bucks to Watch
First among Milwaukee scorers is Giannis Antetokounmpo, with 31.4 points, 11.9 rebounds, and six assists per game. Damian Lillard brings 25.0 points and 7.2 assists per game.
Heat at Bucks Betting Odds Free Picks
Milwaukee remains a weak betting value and will be overpriced at home. This series trends over the total.
Heat at Bucks Betting Pick: Miami Heat and Over the total
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